Asociatia Zamolxe

Retracement in Forex Trading FXTM

Quite simply, a retracement is any temporary reversal in price within a major price trend. A reversal is the end of the price trend and either the beginning of a new one or the beginning of a period of consolidation. The likelihood of a reversal increases if there is a confluence of technical signals when the price reaches a Fibonacci level.

Retracement in Forex Trading

22.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8% and 78.6% are the most popular and officially used retracement levels. The best time frame to identify Fibonacci retracements
is a 30-to-60-minute candlestick chart, as it allows you to focus on the daily market swings at regular intervals. Fibonacci extensions consist of levels drawn beyond the standard 100% level and can be used by traders to project areas that make good potential exits for their trades in the direction of the trend. The major Fibonacci extension levels are 161.8%, 261.8% and 423.6%. When you watch the market trends closely through Fibonacci retracement levels, you allow yourself to see more prominent market
patterns that do not just consist of the major upturns and downturns.

Learn Forex Trading

Fibonacci retracement levels were named after Italian mathematician Leonardo Pisano Bigollo, who was famously known as Leonardo Fibonacci. Instead, Fibonacci introduced these numbers to western Europe after learning about them from Indian merchants. Fibonacci retracement levels were formulated in ancient India between 450 and 200 BCE. A retracement refers to a minor change in the direction of the price of an asset. Retracements often do not indicate a full trend reversal and can be caused by smaller-scale positive news reaching the markets.

Retracement in Forex Trading

For instance, a trader notices that after significant momentum, a stock has declined 38.2%. As the stock begins to face an upward trend, they decide to enter the trade. Because the stock reached a Fibonacci level, it is deemed a good time to buy, with the trader speculating that the stock will then retrace, or recover, its recent losses.

Fibonacci Retracement Calculation

Click on the Swing Low and drag the cursor to the most recent Swing High. Then, for downtrends, click on the Swing High and drag the cursor to the most recent Swing Low. Of course, it is more reliable to look for a confluence of signals (i.e. more reasons to take action on a position). Don’t fall into the trap of assuming that just because the price reached a Fibonacci level the market will automatically reverse. You can employ it to protect your profits and make sure that you will always walk away with some pips in the event that a long-term reversal happens. Because reversals can happen at any time, choosing the best option isn’t always easy.

Let’s use this daily EUR/USD chart as our example of using Fibonacci retracement levels in a downtrend. It’s a lot like the uptrend retracement level analysis, only inverted. Now, we were expecting the AUD/USD to retrace from the recent high and find support at one of the Fibonacci retracement levels because traders would be placing buy orders at these levels as the price pulls back.

What are Fibonacci Retracement Levels?

Founded in 2013, Trading Pedia aims at providing its readers accurate and actual financial news coverage. Our website is focused on major segments in financial markets – stocks, currencies and commodities, and interactive in-depth explanation of key economic events and indicators. As it pertains to the financial markets, the golden ratio is applied via many forms of the Fibonacci indicator. The horizontal Fibonacci lines are used to determine the support and resistance prices in the Forex market.

Retracement in Forex Trading

The sequence starts with 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, 987, 1597, 2584, 4181, 6765, and so on. Traders wait for prices to approach these Fibonacci levels and act according to their strategy. Usually, they look for a reversal signal on these widely watched retracement levels before opening their positions. The most commonly used of the three levels is the 0.618 – the inverse of the golden ratio (1.618), denoted in mathematics by the Greek letter φ.

How to Calculate Fibonacci Retracement Levels

Price often hesitates around Fibonacci levels, which act as support and resistance. The reason they do this is basically because traders expect them to and behave accordingly. Fibonacci retracements are used on a variety of financial instruments, including stocks, commodities, and foreign currency exchanges. However, as with other technical indicators, the predictive value is proportional to the time frame used, with greater weight given to longer timeframes. For example, a 38.2% retracement on a weekly chart is a far more important technical level than a 38.2% retracement on a five-minute chart.

Retracement in Forex Trading

Leave a Comment

Adresa ta de email nu va fi publicată. Câmpurile obligatorii sunt marcate cu *